University at Buffalo School of Management

Buffalo Business - Spring 2021

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Spring 2021 Buffalo Business 21 How a company's consistent earnings can get a CEO fired When a corporation's earnings are steady, its board of directors is more likely to fire their CEO aer a bad earnings period, according to new School of Management research. Published in Management Science, the study analyzed corporate earnings persistence—whether or not earnings are expected to recur or not—and how it impacts CEO turnover. "Firms with high earnings persistence understand that the performance in the current period is likely to carry forward with the incumbent CEO, so they're more likely to fire a CEO who yields poor earnings," says Inho Suk, associate professor of accounting and law. "In contrast, boards of firms with low earnings persistence are less likely to fire a CEO with a poor performance because it's likely temporary." The researchers analyzed data of more than 1,500 CEO turn- overs from 1993-2017, measuring earnings performance by in- dustry-adjusted return on assets (IAROA), with the three-year average of IAROA, industry-adjusted ROA changes and non-Generally Accepted Accounting Principles earnings as alternative measures. Their results show that earnings persistence is the most direct and dominant earnings attribute in explaining CEO turnover decisions. "Compared to CEO compensation, turnover decisions have longer-term consequences on firm performance and corporate policies," says William Kross, professor of accounting and law. "Failure to replace a poorly performing CEO, or to retain a CEO with potential, is the costliest manifestation of agency conflicts." Suk and Kross collaborated on the study with Seung Won Lee, assistant professor of accounting in the Penn State Harrisburg School of Business Administration. Suk Kross In fundraising, listen to your donors—not the experts "When attempting to predict which solicitation will resonate with your donors, it turns out there's no substitute for the real thing. We recommend organizations test new fundraising ideas with a small group of their own donors before full implementation, as the information you gather will far outweigh any minimal costs from the test appeal." — Indranil Goswami, assistant professor of marketing, on his study showing that in-context field tests better predicted how an organization's donors would react to its charitable appeals than academic models or expert advice. The research appeared in Marketing Science. Read more at bit.ly/ goswami-study. Goswami

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